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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $102.5K in 24h volume, and $80.9K in liquidity.
Probability
65%
24h Volume
$102.5K
Liquidity
$80.9K
This market is about the Round 3 Counter-Strike meeting between Spirit and 9z at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with a map handicap line attached to the match result. The question is whether Spirit can finish at least two maps ahead of 9z, which makes the schedule, the match format, and the official result matter a lot.
The title uses a map handicap: Spirit (-1.5) versus 9z (+1.5). In plain terms, Spirit needs to win by at least two maps for the market to resolve to Spirit; if 9z keeps the margin to one map or better, the market resolves to 9z. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00 PM ET in Stage 2 of the IEM Cologne Major, and the official source for the outcome is HLTV.
The uncertainty comes from the match-up itself and from how a Counter-Strike series can swing based on map picks, veto order, and current team form. Spirit and 9z are not interchangeable opponents: Spirit is the side favored in the market, but 9z only needs to stay within the handicap to win the market. That makes the line more about margin of victory than simple match winner, which is why the disagreement can be tighter than a standard win/lose market.
Anything that changes the expected map score can move this price, especially the official veto and the final map pool once the series is set. A strong opening map, a surprising upset on a pick, roster or stand-in news, or confirmation that the match will be a full multi-map series can all affect how likely a two-map Spirit margin looks. Because the market resolves on map differential, a 2-0, 2-1, or forfeited series all matter differently under the stated rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 65% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this resolves, check the official HLTV match page for the final score, whether every map was played, and whether there were any forfeits, walkovers, disqualifications, or cancellations. The rules also say that if the match is canceled, ends tied, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50, so the exact completion status is just as important as the winner. If the match ends because the clinching map is forfeited, that still counts as completed, so readers should verify the final result wording rather than assuming a normal played series.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $102.5K in 24h volume, and $80.9K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Spirit
64.5%
9z
35.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than 9z in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "9z". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 65%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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