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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $12 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$12
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: will either side produce an Ultra Kill in Game 1 of this match? An Ultra Kill means one player takes four enemy heroes in quick succession without dying, so the market is watching for a big fight or a snowball moment early in the first map.
The title points to Game 1 of a Dota 2 series involving BB and LGD, with resolution tied to whether any player on either team records an Ultra Kill in that game. In Dota 2 terms, that can happen during a decisive team fight, a chase after a successful engage, or a dominant push where one player strings together multiple kills before the fight resets. If no one reaches that four-kill streak, the market resolves No; a Rampage also counts as an Ultra Kill for this market.
This market is about a highlight-type event that depends on how the first game actually plays out, not just on who wins the series. Ultra Kills are common enough to be plausible in chaotic Dota fights, but they still depend on draft, tempo, and whether one team gets far enough ahead to let a player chain kills quickly. That leaves room for disagreement about how likely Game 1 is to produce one.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can matter here: aggressive drafts, early fighting lineups, snowball-heavy heroes, or a matchup that tends to create messy team fights. If the teams field unusual rosters, swap roles, or show patch-driven strategies that encourage high kill totals, that would make an Ultra Kill more plausible. A slower, more controlled draft with split-push or defensive play would point the other way.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are that Game 1 is actually played, that it finishes normally, and that the official result source reflects whether an Ultra Kill occurred in that specific game. The market rules say a remade game is judged on the remade version, and if Game 1 is never played because of cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or because the series is already decided, the market resolves 50-50. Because the source of truth is Dotabuff, readers should check the final Game 1 match page and make sure the result corresponds to the completed map rather than a stopped or replaced version of it.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $12 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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