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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$140.8
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 timing question: did Game 3 finish during daytime or nighttime on the game clock? Because the result depends on the base day/night cycle rather than hero abilities, small late-game swings can matter for the final answer.
The market is about Game 3 of a Dota 2 series, and it resolves by checking whether the game-ending moment happened in a daytime window on the in-game clock. In this market, daytime means the base cycle periods listed in the description, while nighttime means the alternating five-minute dark phases. If the game never happens, is remade, ends in a forfeit, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date, the market follows the special 50-50 resolution rules spelled out by the market operator.
Dota 2 games can end at many different points on the clock, and the day/night cycle can affect everything from map visibility to team fight timing. That creates a simple but real uncertainty: a game that looks close for several minutes can still end up on either side of the day/night cutoff. Readers following this market are essentially watching whether the final Ancient push, throne defense, or concession lands in a daytime or nighttime window.
The biggest drivers are schedule and confirmation of whether Game 3 is actually played at all, since cancellations, walkovers, or a series ending before a third game all force a 50-50 outcome. If the game is played, draft style and tempo can matter indirectly: faster snowball drafts, early objectives, and one-sided pushes can make a daytime finish more likely, while slower, late-game drafts can push the ending into a later phase. A remake would also matter, because resolution is based on the remade game rather than the first version.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this market settles, readers should verify that Game 3 is officially played and that the match is not affected by a forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or earlier series result. The resolution source is Dotabuff, so the key detail is the final game log and the in-game clock at the moment the Ancient falls or the game ends by surrender. The deadline shown on the page is 2026-06-07 14:00:00 UTC, and if final results are not published within the stated post-event window, the market’s fallback rules may apply.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
5%
No
95%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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