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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: will anyone record an Ultra Kill in Game 3? In Dota, that means one player takes down four enemy heroes in quick succession without dying, which is a strong sign of a decisive fight or a big momentum swing.
The event here is limited to Game 3 only, not the whole series. It resolves to Yes if any player on either team gets an Ultra Kill during that game, and a Rampage also counts because it includes an Ultra Kill along the way. If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed more than seven days, or is made unnecessary by the series ending earlier, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Ultra Kills are uncommon, but they can happen in Dota 2 whenever one side wins a clustered team fight, catches multiple heroes in a spell combo, or snowballs a late-game engagement. That makes this a narrow but meaningful event market: people are weighing whether Game 3 will feature the kind of chaotic, high-impact fight that produces a four-kill streak.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a messy, fight-heavy game can move this market: draft choices that favor team fighting, comeback lineups, or burst damage; patch and meta trends that reward grouped engagements; and the match format itself, since a decisive Game 3 often creates higher-variance fights. If either team is known for aggressive initiation, reset-heavy team fights, or late-game area damage, that would generally make an Ultra Kill more plausible than in a slow, pickoff-oriented game.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is that Game 3 is actually played, because several fallback outcomes send the market to 50-50 if the deciding map never happens. For resolution, the stated source is official information from Dotabuff, so readers should check the completed Game 3 match page there and confirm whether any player logged an Ultra Kill before the game ended. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the map ends early by forfeit after it has already started, the result depends on whether an Ultra Kill happened before stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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