
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$140.8
This market asks a very narrow Dota 2 timing question: will Game 3 finish while the in-game clock is in one of the daytime windows, or will it end during nighttime? Because Dota’s day/night cycle changes on a fixed timer, the result can hinge on when the final Ancient falls, not just on who wins the game.
The outcome is based on Game 3 of a Dota 2 series and whether the game-ending action happens during a daytime phase of the base game clock. The market resolves “Yes” if the match ends in daytime and “No” if it ends in nighttime; temporary effects like hero abilities that create darkness do not count, because the rule only uses the standard Dota 2 day/night cycle. The exact teams are not named in the market title, so readers should verify which series this Game 3 refers to and confirm that the game is actually played by the scheduled deadline of 2026-06-06 15:30 UTC.
This kind of market is interesting because Dota 2 matches often stretch across multiple timing cycles, and the final push can happen on either side of a five-minute boundary. Game length, draft style, and whether a team closes out cleanly or after a long defense all matter here, which creates uncertainty even for a simple yes-or-no question. The market is essentially pricing the chance that the decisive finish lands before the clock rolls into night.
Anything that changes the expected length of Game 3 can shift the price: a faster-paced draft, an early lead that leads to a quick high-ground push, or the opposite, with long stalemates and split-push defense, all affect whether the ending falls in day or night. If the series format changes, the game is remade, or Game 3 is delayed, that also matters because the rules say delayed, canceled, or unplayed games can resolve to 50-50. The live market already leans strongly toward “Yes,” so a reader would watch for signs that the game is becoming unusually long or that the series itself may not reach a played Game 3.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official result source, the final game clock at the moment of Ancient destruction or forfeiture, and whether the game was actually played rather than canceled, walked over, or made unnecessary by an earlier series result. Resolution is tied to Dotabuff’s final information, with a fallback only if Dotabuff does not publish final results within the stated window after the event ends. Because the title does not identify the teams or tournament, it is worth confirming the exact match page and making sure any remake is the one used for settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $140.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
95%
No
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$639.4K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Spread
2%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.3%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$10.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market