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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $70 in 24h volume, and $179.5 in liquidity.
Probability
91%
24h Volume
$70
Liquidity
$179.5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
90.5%
Change
+40%
High
90.5%
Low
50.5%
Team Yandex moved from 50.5% to 90.5% over the last hour, trading between 50.5% and 90.5%.
Team Yandex price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: which side will draw first blood in Game 2 of the BLAST Slam Playoffs grand final between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming. Because it is tied to one map in one championship series, the outcome can hinge on draft, lane matchups, and the opening movements of the teams rather than the full match result.
The event is the grand final match in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET, and the market resolves only on Game 2. The two possible outcomes are Team Yandex or LGD Gaming, based on which team secures the first kill in that game. If Game 2 is not fully played, is remade, or never produces a first blood under the rules, the market follows the specific fallback instructions in the description, including 50-50 resolution in several edge cases.
First blood is a small early-game moment, but in Dota 2 it often reflects which team had the sharper draft, stronger lane setup, or better early movement. That makes this a narrow but meaningful question for a high-stakes final, where the opening minutes of one map can be very different from the overall series winner. The market is pricing a disagreement over which roster is more likely to strike first in that exact game, not which team is stronger across the whole match.
Any change to the Game 2 setup can matter a lot, including draft style, lane assignments, and whether either team tends to play aggressively out of the gate in playoff games. Because this is a grand final, teams may also adapt based on what happened earlier in the series, which can change who has the initiative at minute one. If the schedule shifts, the match is delayed, or Game 2 is interrupted or remade, the resolution path in the rules becomes important and can affect how the market should be read.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 91% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that Game 2 is actually played and completed, because the market has special outcomes for cancellation, delay, forfeit, remake, or an unfinished map. The stated resolution source is official information from Dotabuff, with credible reporting or video evidence only if Dotabuff has not published final results within two hours after the event ends. The key ambiguity to watch is whether the first blood happens before any stoppage or remake, since that determines how the market resolves under the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $70 in 24h volume, and $179.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Yandex
90.5%
LGD Gaming
9.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 91%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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