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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $136.3 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$136.3
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: will Game 3 feature at least one Ultra Kill from any player on either side? In Dota terms, that means one player kills four enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying, with a Rampage counting as well for this market. Because it is tied to a single map rather than the whole series, the outcome depends on what happens in that one game, not on the eventual match winner.
The title points to Game 3, so the key setup is that a best-of series must reach a third map before this market can be settled. The named entities here are the Dota 2 teams implied by the event page, but the resolution itself is not about who wins the series or how many kills are scored overall; it is only about whether any player records an Ultra Kill during that specific game. If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, or is remade, the rules determine whether the market resolves to 50-50 or to the remade game only.
Ultra Kills are high-impact but still uncommon enough that a single team fight, late-game throw, or snowballing core can change the answer quickly. That makes this a narrower Dota 2 event than a standard match-winner market: the question is not just which team is stronger, but whether the draft and tempo of Game 3 produce one explosive cleanup sequence. Because Dota is highly matchup- and patch-sensitive, small changes in hero composition, map control, or momentum can matter a lot for this kind of result.
What matters most is whether Game 3 is actually scheduled and played, since a canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unneeded third game pushes the market toward the special 50-50 handling in the rules. If the series reaches a decisive third map, the draft can still shape the chance of an Ultra Kill: team-fight-heavy lineups, fragile backliners, and late-game lineups with reset potential can all make multi-kill streaks more likely. A remake also matters, because the market resolves on the remade game only, so viewers should watch the final official version of Game 3 rather than an abandoned first attempt.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check that Game 3 actually starts and completes, and note whether the series truly reaches a third map rather than ending early. The source of truth is official information from Dotabuff, with a fallback consensus process only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether an Ultra Kill happened before any stoppage, since that can still count even if the game does not finish normally, while a remade game replaces the original for resolution purposes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, and $136.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
10%
No
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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