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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 timing question: does Game 3 finish during the game’s daytime segment or its nighttime segment? Because the answer depends on the in-game clock, not just who wins, even a routine late-fight finish can flip the result.
The title refers to Game 3 of a Dota 2 series, but the matchup name is not included in the provided details, so readers should verify which teams are actually playing. The resolution rule is simple: if the game-ending action, either Ancient destruction or a midgame forfeit, happens while the base clock is in a daytime window, the market resolves Yes; if it ends during nighttime, it resolves No. The market also says remakes use the remade game, and if Game 3 is never played, canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or not needed because the series is decided earlier, it resolves 50-50.
This kind of market is about a narrow but real source of uncertainty in Dota 2: games can end at many different moments, and the day/night cycle changes every five minutes on the base clock. A match that looks long enough to go either way may still end on one side of the cycle or the other, which is why the result is not obvious from the series score alone. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over when the decisive final event will land relative to that fixed in-game timer.
The biggest drivers are the pace and length of Game 3, since fast stomps and early surrenders are more likely to end before or after specific five-minute windows. Draft choices, early kills, objective pressure, and whether the game looks like it will drag into a long late-game all matter because they change the odds that the Ancient falls during day or night. If there is a remake, or if official match handling changes the status of the game, the resolution will follow the remade result or the market’s 50-50 contingency rules.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, the key thing to check is the official result on Dotabuff, since that is named as the source of truth in the rules. Readers should pay attention to the base in-game clock at the exact moment of game end, because temporary darkness effects from heroes do not count and only the standard day/night cycle matters. It is also worth confirming that Game 3 is actually played on the scheduled date, since cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or an already-decided series all force a 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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