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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $50 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$0.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
50%
Low
50%
LGD Gaming moved from 50% to 50% over the last month, trading between 50% and 50%.
LGD Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: which side draws first blood in Game 3 of the BLAST Slam Playoffs grand final between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming. Because it depends on one early kill in one deciding game, it is a narrow event with a lot of execution risk and very little room for late-game strength to matter.
The outcome is the team that gets the first kill in Game 3 of the grand final, originally scheduled for June 7 at 9:30 AM ET. The title matters because this is not about who wins the match or the series, but about which team lands the first blood in the third game specifically, and only if that game is actually played. Resolution is tied to official results on Dotabuff, with fallback rules if the game is incomplete, remade, or never played.
First blood markets are uncertain because they hinge on early lane movement, draft choices, jungle paths, and whether a team plays aggressively from the opening minutes. In a grand final, both teams may be cautious or prepared for specific opening plans, so even strong overall teams can differ on who gets the first kill. The market is pricing disagreement over which roster is more likely to control the first few minutes of a decisive game.
Anything that changes the chance Game 3 is played, or how the teams approach the opening, can matter here. In Dota 2, draft style, early-gank lineups, support rotations, and lane matchups are especially relevant to first blood, so official series context and the final Game 3 draft are the most important things to watch. If the match format shifts, the game is delayed, or the series ends before a third map, the market may resolve under its special rules rather than on a normal in-game result.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore resolution, check whether the grand final actually reaches Game 3 and whether that game completes normally. The source of truth is Dotabuff, and if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends, credible reporting or video evidence can be used instead. Readers should pay close attention to the exact first-blood moment, because if Game 3 is remade or stopped early, the rules specify whether the pre-remake first blood counts or whether the market falls back to 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $50 in 24h volume, and $0.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Yandex
50.1%
LGD Gaming
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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