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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about one specific moment in a Dota 2 series: whether Game 4 features an Ultra Kill. In Dota 2 terms, that means one player must kill four enemy heroes in quick succession without dying, with a Rampage counting as well for resolution here. Because the outcome depends on a single in-game highlight, it can swing on drafting, momentum, and how messy a late fight becomes.
The question is simply: during Game 4, does any player on either side record an Ultra Kill? The market resolves "Yes" if that happens at least once, and "No" if it does not. It is tied to the scheduled Game 4 of this Dota 2 match, so if Game 4 is never played, is canceled, or the series ends before a fourth game is needed, the market resolves 50-50 rather than yes or no.
Ultra Kills are uncommon enough that one game can go either way even in a high-level series, especially if teams play cautiously or one side snowballs cleanly without a single player securing four rapid kills. That makes this a narrow, event-specific question instead of a broad match-winner bet: the market is pricing whether the fourth game becomes chaotic enough for a multi-kill streak to happen. The title does not name the teams directly, so readers should confirm which Dota 2 series Game 4 refers to before looking for the result.
Anything that changes how likely a long team fight or wipe is can matter here: draft choices that favor burst damage, teamfight ultimates, illusion-heavy lineups, or heroes that can clean up low-health targets quickly. A close game with frequent grouped fights generally raises the chance of an Ultra Kill, while a one-sided stomp or a slow objective-focused game may reduce it. If the series format, schedule, or lineup changes affect whether Game 4 is actually played, that matters too because an unplayed Game 4 resolves 50-50.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is that Game 4 actually starts and finishes, because a canceled map, a walkover, or a series ending before Game 4 would not produce a normal Yes/No result. For resolution, the market says to use official information from Dotabuff, so the final match page is the source readers should check after the game ends. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the result is delayed or unavailable, the market rules may rely on fallback interpretation rather than an on-page highlight clip.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 4. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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