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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Beat Roshan?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.7
This market asks a very specific Dota 2 question: in Game 4 between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming, will both sides take Roshan at least once? Roshan is one of the most important neutral objectives in Dota 2, so this market is really about whether the game develops into a back-and-forth late-stage fight over control of the map.
The title refers to Game 4 of the series between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming, and the outcome depends only on that single map. For a "Yes" result, both teams must kill Roshan at least once during Game 4; if either team fails to do so, the market resolves "No." If Game 4 is never played because the series ends earlier, or if the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, or ends as a full no-contest, the market is set to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Roshan is not a routine kill: teams usually need a strong timing, map control, or a decisive fight to take it safely, and some games never see both teams get that chance. Because this market is tied to one exact game, the uncertainty comes from how the draft, tempo, and series situation shape the match—whether it becomes a slower siege, a chaotic comeback game, or a one-sided finish. The dispute the market prices is simple: will Game 4 be active and long enough for both Team Yandex and LGD Gaming to secure Roshan at least once?
Anything that changes the expected pace of Game 4 can move this market, especially the draft and the way the series has been trending. Lineups built for early snowballing or heavy push can reduce the chance of a second Roshan window, while more even or late-game drafts can make multiple Roshan kills more likely. If the match format changes, the series ends before Game 4 is needed, or the game is remade, those procedural outcomes matter as much as the in-game action because they can determine whether the market resolves normally or to 50-50.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are that Game 4 is actually played, that it is the remade version if the original game is restarted, and that the official result source reflects Roshan kills for that specific map. The market’s stated source of truth is Dotabuff, so the final resolution should follow the published Game 4 record there, with special attention to whether both teams are credited with at least one Roshan kill before any stoppage. If the series ends before Game 4, or the game is not completed as described in the rules, the 50-50 fallback is the important resolution path to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Beat Roshan?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 4. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Team Yandex and LGD Gaming each kill Roshan at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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