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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very narrow Dota 2 timing question: if Game 4 is played, does the final game-ending moment happen during the map’s daytime cycle or its nighttime cycle? Because Dota 2’s clock flips every five minutes and resolution depends on the exact in-game time when the Ancient falls, small swings in pace, drafts, or late-game stalling can matter here.
The title points to Game 4 of a Ty vs. LGD Dota 2 series, with resolution based on whether the game-ending action happens in a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. The market resolves Yes if the Ancient is destroyed, or the game ends by midgame forfeit, during daytime; it resolves No if that happens during nighttime. Temporary hero-based night effects do not count, and if the game is remade the remade version is the one that matters.
There is real uncertainty because Dota 2 matches can end anywhere from a quick early push to a long, late-game siege, and the clock phase at the exact finish can easily flip between day and night. Fans watching this market are really pricing the overlap between game length, team style, and the timing of the final push in a specific Game 4 setting. The fact that this is tied to a single map also means draft choices, tempo, and comeback potential can all change the likely finish window.
A faster-paced draft, early kills, or a one-sided lane phase would make an earlier finish more plausible and can shift attention toward whichever clock phase is active near that timing. By contrast, a cautious draft, long siege defenses, or repeated failed high-ground attempts increase the chance that Game 4 stretches into later minutes, where day/night flips become more important. Any change to the series situation also matters, because if Game 4 is never played due to a prior result, forfeit, disqualification, or cancellation, this market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played, since the rules give a 50-50 result if the match is canceled, delayed too long, never needed, or decided by walkover or disqualification. If the game does happen, the source of truth is the official result information on Dotabuff, and the relevant clock is the base in-game day/night cycle rather than hero-specific darkness effects. Readers should also check for a remake, since the remade game controls resolution, and confirm the final ending moment rather than any earlier pause or temporary state.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether Game 4 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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