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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
50%
Low
50%
LGD Gaming moved from 50% to 50% over the last week, trading between 50% and 50%.
LGD Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks a very specific question about the BLAST Slam Playoffs grand final between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming: which side gets the first kill in Game 4. In Dota 2, first blood is often an early sign of which team is controlling the opening minutes, so this is a narrow but meaningful in-game outcome rather than a full-match result.
The event is the grand final matchup between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming, with Game 4 scheduled as part of that series. The market resolves to the team that secures the first blood in Game 4, using official results from Dotabuff as the primary source. If Game 4 is never completed, is not played, or is delayed too long under the stated rules, resolution falls back to 50-50 in the cases described in the market terms.
Even when two teams are well known, the opening of a single Dota map can be hard to forecast because draft choices, lane matchups, and early movement all affect who makes the first decisive play. That uncertainty is especially relevant in a grand final, where both sides may prepare specific early-game plans and the first minute can be shaped by pressure, scouting, or surprise rotations. The market is pricing disagreement over which team is more likely to create the first kill in that one specific game.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening of Game 4 can matter here: draft results from the earlier games, whether either team has been favoring aggressive supports or lane setups, and signs that a team is willing to contest runes or invade early. Because this is tied only to Game 4, the series score and the way the earlier maps unfolded can also affect how people judge the likely opening approach. Any official update about schedule changes, remakes, pauses, or whether Game 4 is actually played is especially important because those outcomes can trigger the market’s special resolution rules.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 4 is actually played, whether it is completed normally, and whether Dotabuff publishes the official final result within the required window. Readers should also watch for any remake, abandonment, forfeit, or long delay, since those scenarios change how the market resolves under the stated rules. Because the source of truth is Dotabuff unless that is unavailable in time, the safest check is the official match record rather than informal commentary or highlight clips.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Team Yandex
50%
LGD Gaming
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 4 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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