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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple in-game question: will anyone on either side get an Ultra Kill during Game 5 of a Dota 2 series? Because the outcome depends on a single fight sequence in one map, it can hinge on teamfights, carries getting cleanup damage, or one side collapsing late in the game.
An Ultra Kill in Dota 2 means one player kills four enemy heroes in quick succession without dying; a Rampage also counts for this market. The key event is specifically Game 5, so the series has to reach a deciding fifth map for the market to be settled on the gameplay in that match only. If the game is not played, is never needed, or is stopped and remade, the rules point to special resolution outcomes rather than using earlier maps.
This market is uncertain because Dota 2 teamfights can swing hard, but an Ultra Kill still requires one player to be in the right place at the right time and finish four kills rapidly. Readers may care because this is a narrow, highlight-driven outcome that often depends on draft, tempo, and whether one team gets a clean late-game fight or snowball sequence.
The biggest drivers are the draft and how the match is playing out: lineups with burst damage, reset potential, or strong teamfight ultimates can create more chances for one player to chain kills. Long, chaotic fights, buybacks, and a lopsided late-game push can also make an Ultra Kill more likely, while very controlled games with limited deaths can leave the market leaning toward No. If the series does not reach Game 5, or if the fifth game is canceled, forfeited, or remade, those outcome rules matter more than anything that happens in earlier maps.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck that Game 5 is actually played, since the market resolves to 50-50 if the series ends earlier, is canceled, or is delayed beyond the stated seven-day window. The source of truth is official final information from Dotabuff, with a fallback only if those final results are not available within the stated time frame. For resolution, the only thing that matters is whether any player in the remade or completed Game 5 records an Ultra Kill, with Rampages counting as yes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Ultra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 5. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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