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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific timing question about the fifth game in a Dota 2 series: does Game 5 end during the game’s daytime phase, or during nighttime? The answer depends on the in-game clock when the game-ending event happens, not on the real-world time of day. Because Dota’s day/night cycle flips every five minutes, the exact pace of the match matters a lot here.
The title points to Game 5 of a Dota 2 series, and the market resolves based on whether the match-ending action happens in a daytime window on the base in-game timer. A “Yes” means the game ends during one of the daytime segments defined in the market rules; a “No” means it ends during nighttime. If Game 5 is never played, is canceled, is delayed too long, or is decided by a result that prevents the game from being played, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
This kind of market is about a narrow in-game timing cutoff, which can be hard to anticipate even when the matchup itself is known. In Dota 2, game length, drafting style, and late-game decision-making can push a finish across a day/night boundary, so there is genuine uncertainty about which phase the final blow will fall in. The market is pricing that timing uncertainty rather than who wins the series.
Anything that changes the likely length and pacing of Game 5 can matter here: fast pushes, early deaths, stalled high-ground attempts, or a long back-and-forth late game can all shift the expected finish time across the five-minute day/night blocks. Because the resolution is tied to the actual ending moment, a game that looks close to ending near a boundary can move the market quickly. If the series format, roster availability, or draft trends make a shorter or longer game more likely, that can also influence expectations for whether the end comes in daylight.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 5 is actually played, since the rules send canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary Game 5s to 50-50. The official source named in the rules is Dotabuff, so the final result should be checked there, and the relevant detail is the in-game day/night timer at the moment the Ancient is destroyed or the game is otherwise ended. Temporary darkness effects from hero abilities do not count, and if the match is remade, the remade game is the one that matters for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Ends in Daytime?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether Game 5 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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