
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$110.8K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $108 in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
Probability
35%
24h Volume
$108
Liquidity
$6.6K
This market asks whether Elon Musk will post between 65 and 89 times on X during a two-day window in June 2026. It is worth watching because Musk’s account is unusually active and closely followed, so even a short stretch of posting can swing the count quickly.
The question is narrowly defined around @elonmusk’s activity on X from June 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count under the rules; replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed in a way the tracker captures, and community reposts are excluded. The market resolves by the “Post Counter” on xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself used as a backup if the tracker fails to update correctly.
There is uncertainty because Musk’s posting volume can vary widely depending on his schedule, business activity, public comments, and how engaged he is on a given day. The 65-89 range is specific enough that small changes in posting pace matter, so readers are effectively weighing whether his activity over that window lands in a moderate band or falls well below or above it. The market is not about what he says, but how much he posts under the counting rules.
The biggest price moves would come from bursts of posting that make the final count look likely to land inside or outside the 65-89 range. A quiet stretch, a sudden run of reposts or quote posts, or unusually heavy late-window activity could all change the market quickly because the resolution depends on the total count by a fixed deadline. Posts that are deleted may still count if the tracker captures them, so the live count can reflect short-lived activity that viewers might not notice later.
The current market price implies roughly a 35% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-0.2%
24h Vol
$110.8K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should check the tracker’s Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com and compare it with the counting rules, especially the treatment of replies, reposts, quote posts, and deleted posts. The key deadline is June 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, which is when the counting window closes. If the tracker appears inconsistent, the market rules say X itself may serve as the secondary source, so the exact final count and how it was captured are the main things to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 35%, $108 in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
34.5%
No
65.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 35%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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