
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$110.8K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $302.3 in 24h volume, and $7.2K in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$302.3
Liquidity
$7.2K
This market asks a very specific question about Elon Musk’s posting volume on X over a two-day window in June 2026. Because the resolution is based on a counted post tracker rather than a subjective judgment, the key issue is not what he says but how many qualifying posts, quote posts, and reposts appear during the exact window.
The market resolves on whether Elon Musk (@elonmusk) makes 90 to 114 counted posts on X between June 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and June 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count; replies generally do not, except replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. Deleted posts still count if they remain visible long enough to be recorded, and community reposts that the tracker does not count are excluded.
There is genuine uncertainty because Musk is one of the most active and unpredictable high-profile users on X, and his output can vary widely from one short period to the next. Readers may care because the market is really testing a concrete behavioral pattern: whether his posting pace over these two days lands inside a fairly narrow band rather than simply being high or low.
The price can move if Elon Musk becomes especially active on X during the window, since a burst of main-feed posts, reposts, or quote posts could quickly push the total toward or beyond the 90-114 range. It can also move in response to the tracker’s count as the window unfolds, especially if posts are added, deleted after being captured, or classified in a way that changes the running total. If the tracker appears out of sync, traders may pay close attention to X itself because the rules allow it as a fallback resolution source.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-0.2%
24h Vol
$110.8K
Liquidity
$43.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe most important thing to watch is the exact time window: June 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET through June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. Readers should verify the tracker’s “Post Counter” on xtracker.polymarket.com, check whether individual items are being counted as posts, quote posts, or reposts, and watch for any ambiguity around replies, deleted posts, or posts that may not be captured immediately. If the tracker does not update correctly, the market rules say X itself can be used as the secondary source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $302.3 in 24h volume, and $7.2K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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