culture
😬 Cooling⚡ Tight
12%
-38.2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
24h Vol
$215.8K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Spread
0%
6/13/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $14.9K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$14.9K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Elon Musk will post between 20 and 39 times on X during a one-week window in June 2026. It is worth watching because Musk is one of the platform’s most active high-profile accounts, and small changes in posting pace can quickly push the total into or out of the listed range.
The question is narrowly defined: will @elonmusk publish at least 20 but no more than 39 counted posts from June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The rules say the count includes main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while ordinary replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed in the way the tracker captures them. Resolution comes from the “Post Counter” on xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself used only if the tracker fails to follow the stated rules.
This market centers on a simple but uncertain behavior question: how active will Elon Musk be on X over that exact week, and will his posting rate land in a middle band rather than being very low or very high. Because Musk’s account can vary widely from week to week, traders are effectively weighing his public schedule, attention on platform, and willingness to post more or less than usual during the window. The chosen range matters because the market is not asking for a single exact number, but for whether the total ends up inside a specific bracket.
Price can move if Musk appears especially active, stays quiet for long stretches, or uses quote posts and reposts in ways that add to the count under the tracker’s rules. Since only posts within the exact June 5 to June 12 window count, a burst of activity early in the period can quickly change expectations about whether the final total will fall below 20 or rise above 39. Any discrepancy between the tracker and X, or a change in how posts are captured, could also matter because the rules allow X to serve as a backup source.
Related markets
-38.2%
24h Vol
$215.8K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Spread
0%
6/13/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the exact cutoff time, since the market ends at 12:00 PM ET on June 12, 2026, not at the end of that calendar day. The key source of truth is the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, and the rules also specify that deleted posts can still count if they were captured by the tracker for long enough. The main ambiguity to watch is classification: replies generally do not count, but some posts that appear in the main feed may be included by the tracker, so the final tally depends on the tracker’s treatment of Musk’s activity during the window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $14.9K in 24h volume.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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