finance
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
1%
+0.1%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
24h Vol
$669.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $195.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$195.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during a fixed one-week window in June 2026. Because the outcome depends on a count of posts rather than a simple yes-or-no event, the exact counting rules matter as much as the calendar dates.
The market resolves by counting how many times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X between June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. In this market, main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total; replies do not count unless they appear as main-feed activity that the tracker captures, and community reposts that the tracker does not count are excluded. The specific outcome here is whether the final tracked total lands in the 80–99 range.
Elon Musk is a highly active and sometimes unpredictable poster, so a one-week posting total can vary widely depending on schedule, news cycles, product announcements, or simple changes in his online activity. Readers may care because the market is effectively pricing the likelihood that his X activity stays within a fairly narrow band rather than dropping far below it or spiking above it. Since the resolution depends on a tracker and a precise definition of what counts, the disagreement is not just about behavior but also about how many posts will be captured under the rules.
The price can move if Musk’s posting rhythm visibly speeds up or slows down during the resolution window, especially if he begins using X much more heavily or goes quiet for stretches. Any major public announcement, product-related activity, or high-visibility conversation that appears to change how often he posts could matter, since the market is sensitive to the final count rather than the content of the posts. Clarifications about the tracker, unusual posting formats, deletions, or a surge in reposts could also affect expectations because those details can change the counted total.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$669.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, with individual posts available through the site’s Export Data view. Readers should check that the tracker is updating correctly and that it is counting only the post types allowed by the rules, since replies, deleted posts, and community reposts are treated differently from main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts. The market ends at 12:00 PM ET on June 12, 2026, so the final tally should be judged against that cutoff, and any mismatch between the tracker and X itself may matter if secondary resolution is needed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $195.1K in 24h volume.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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