
-1.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$65.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $947.4 in 24h volume, and $4.1K in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$947.4
Liquidity
$4.1K
This market asks a very simple but very specific question: how many posts Elon Musk makes on X during a two-day window in June 2026. Because Musk is one of the most active and closely watched accounts on the platform, even a narrow posting range can attract attention and move quickly as the window approaches.
The title refers to Elon Musk’s X account, @elonmusk, and the market resolves on the number of counted posts from June 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The range in the title, 90–114 tweets, means the market settles Yes if the tracker records a total within that band, using only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts as defined in the rules.
Musk’s posting behavior is hard to pin down in advance because it can vary a lot based on product announcements, politics, company news, or simple bursts of activity. That makes this a live test of a very public but unpredictable communication pattern, with the market pricing whether his output lands in a fairly high-volume range over a short period.
The biggest drivers are any changes in Musk’s posting rhythm before or during the window: a flood of commentary, a cluster of reposts, or a quiet stretch with few main-feed posts. Since replies are excluded unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker, the exact mix of post types matters, as do deleted posts that remain visible long enough to be counted.
The current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

-1.5%
24h Vol
$146.1K
Liquidity
$65.2K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should check the resolution source closely: the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com is the primary source, with individual posts available through Export Data if there is a dispute. The rules also say that if the tracker fails to update correctly, X itself may be used as a backup source, so the important thing is not just how many times Musk posts, but whether those posts are counted under the market’s exact definitions before the June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $947.4 in 24h volume, and $4.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
6%
No
94%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 10, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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