
+0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
24h Vol
$187.6K
Liquidity
$63.1K
Spread
0%
7/3/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Empire State couple charged by July 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $2.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$0
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Empire State couple charged by July 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $2.4K in 24h volume.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 4, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
On July 1, a couple climbed the Empire State Building. You can read more about that here: https://abc7ny.com/post/2-people-climb-top-empire-state-building-pro-peace-banner/19429181/ This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Angela Nikolau or Ivan Beerkus between market creation and July 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$187.6K
Liquidity
$63.1K
Spread
0%
7/3/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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