crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$101.8K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 79%, $78.3 in 24h volume, and $5.2K in liquidity.
Probability
79%
24h Volume
$78.3
Liquidity
$5.2K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price finish above $1,500 at noon Eastern Time on June 13, 2026? Because the resolution uses a single one-minute candle on Binance rather than a broader market average, even small moves around the cutoff can matter.
The event is tied to Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market value, and the price threshold is $1,500. The market resolves using Binance’s ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, and it looks only at the candle’s final Close price. If that Binance Close is higher than $1,500, the outcome is Yes; otherwise it is No.
ETH can trade above or below a round-number level like $1,500 because crypto prices move quickly and can be affected by broader market sentiment, exchange flows, macro news, or Ethereum-specific developments. The uncertainty here is not just whether ETH is generally strong, but whether it is still above the line at one exact minute on one exact date. That makes the market especially sensitive to the gap between a general price trend and a precise source-and-time rule.
Any sharp move in ETH/USDT near the noon ET cutoff on Binance can change the outcome, especially if the market is hovering close to $1,500. News around Ethereum upgrades, regulatory developments, major exchange activity, or a sudden crypto-wide selloff or rally could all matter if they influence the Binance spot price on that specific minute. Because the market is anchored to one candle, brief volatility, liquidity shifts, or a fast wick around 12:00 ET are more relevant than the day’s average price.
The current market price implies roughly a 79% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$323.3K
Liquidity
$101.8K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is the exact source of truth: Binance ETH/USDT on the 1-minute candles view, with the 12:00 ET candle on June 13, 2026. Readers should also check that they are looking at the candle’s Close value, not the last trade on another exchange, a different trading pair, or a different timezone. If the price is close to $1,500 near the deadline, the precise candle timestamp and Binance’s displayed decimal precision will matter for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 79%, $78.3 in 24h volume, and $5.2K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
78.5%
No
21.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 79%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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