
-18.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
24h Vol
$63.5K
Liquidity
$47.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $100.7K in 24h volume, and $200.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$100.7K
Liquidity
$200.9K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will print an official settlement at or above $5,500 on the Active Month contract at any point before the end of June 2026. It is a straightforward threshold question, but the answer depends on a very specific CME settlement series rather than intraday gold prices or headlines.
The underlying event is the CME Group settlement price for Gold (GC) futures, using the contract’s Active Month, which rotates among the standard delivery months. The market resolves “Yes” if that official settlement price reaches $5,500 or higher on any trading day by the final trading day of June 2026; otherwise it resolves “No.” The cutoff date matters because the market stops at the end of June, and only CME-published settlements count.
Gold prices can move sharply on shifts in inflation expectations, interest rates, central-bank policy, dollar strength, and broader risk sentiment, so a very high price threshold can still be uncertain over a multi-month window. This market is pricing disagreement about whether gold can reach a new level high enough to settle at $5,500 on the active CME contract before the deadline. Because the rule is based on an official exchange settlement, the debate is not just about where gold trades during the day, but where CME ultimately marks the contract after the close.
The market will usually react to changes that affect gold’s appeal as a store of value, especially major moves in real yields, Federal Reserve expectations, or inflation data. Large swings in the U.S. dollar, geopolitical stress, and unusually strong or weak demand for safe-haven assets can also change how plausible a $5,500 settlement looks. Since this is tied to CME’s Active Month settlement, contract roll timing and the specific month being settled can matter if traders expect the front-month contract to behave differently near delivery-cycle changes.
Related markets

-18.2%
24h Vol
$63.5K
Liquidity
$47.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the CME settlement page for Gold (GC) futures, because only the official settlement price for the Active Month counts. Readers should check which contract month is the Active Month on each trading day, since that designation changes automatically on CME’s schedule and the market does not use intraday highs, last trades, or estimates. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, and the market rules say the first published CME settlement for that day is the one that matters even if CME later corrects it.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $100.7K in 24h volume, and $200.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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