
-0.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
24h Vol
$125.1K
Liquidity
$194.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $550.1 in 24h volume, and $156.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$550.1
Liquidity
$156.4K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will print an official Active Month settlement at or above $7,000 at any point before the end of June 2026. It is a straightforward threshold question, but the exact contract being watched matters because the Active Month rolls over during the month and the settlement price, not the intraday trade, controls resolution.
The title refers to Gold (GC) futures traded on CME, with the outcome tied to the highest official settlement level reached by the Active Month contract on any trading day through the final trading day of June 2026. To resolve “Yes,” CME must publish a settlement for the Active Month at or above $7,000 on a qualifying trading day; otherwise it resolves “No.” The market is not using spot gold, and it is not based on the day’s high, last trade, or any price other than CME’s official settlement.
Gold can move sharply when inflation expectations, central bank policy, currency strength, or broader risk sentiment shift, so a very high threshold like $7,000 is a meaningful question about how far the futures market could extend in a short window. The uncertainty here is less about whether gold is volatile and more about whether the Active Month contract can reach an extreme level before the June 2026 deadline. Readers watching this page are essentially tracking whether the market believes that kind of move is plausible within the time remaining.
New information that changes expectations for inflation, interest rates, or safe-haven demand can move Gold (GC) futures quickly, especially if it affects the near-dated contract that counts for resolution. Because this market resolves on CME’s official settlement price, a large daily move near the end of the month could matter more than intraday spikes that fail to hold into the close. Contract roll timing also matters: once the Active Month changes, the market is looking at a different futures month, so readers should pay attention to CME’s contract calendar and which month is currently designated Active Month.
Related markets

-0.2%
24h Vol
$125.1K
Liquidity
$194.9K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key items to verify are CME’s official settlement page, the Active Month designation, and the June 2026 end date, since only settlement prices published for the eligible Active Month count. Do not rely on spot gold quotes, exchange headlines, or intraday charts, because this market resolves strictly from the first-published CME settlement for that trading day. If you are checking the rules near the deadline, confirm the exact resolution source named on the market page and whether any contract rollover has shifted the relevant futures month.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $550.1 in 24h volume, and $156.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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