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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $220 in 24h volume, and $23.1K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$220
Liquidity
$23.1K
This market is about whether the day’s high temperature at Incheon International Airport Station will finish at 18°C or lower on June 7, 2026. The title mentions Seoul, but the resolution rules point to the weather record for Incheon Intl Airport Station, so that is the source readers should use. Because the result depends on a single day’s official daily high, even a small temperature difference can flip the outcome.
The question is whether the highest temperature recorded on June 7, 2026, at Incheon Intl Airport Station will fall in the 18°C-or-below range. Resolution is based on the Wunderground daily history page for RKSI, and the market uses whole-degree Celsius readings rather than decimals. It cannot resolve until the first weather data point for June 8 is published, since that is when the June 7 record is considered complete.
This market exists because daily highs are easy to talk about but not always easy to pin down ahead of time, especially when the rules depend on one specific weather station and one specific calendar day. The title’s reference to Seoul adds a layer of ambiguity, since readers may assume the city forecast matters while the actual source is an airport station near the capital area. The disagreement being priced is simply whether the day will stay mild enough to end at 18°C or below, or climb above that threshold.
Any forecast change that suggests a warmer afternoon in the Incheon/Seoul area can push the market toward No, while cooler cloud cover, rain, or a subdued daytime high would support Yes. Because the resolution uses the station’s recorded daily maximum, late-afternoon warmth matters just as much as morning conditions if temperatures keep rising. A revised weather history reading on the source page could also matter while the June 7 record is still open to updates.
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24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the Wunderground history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station, not a general city forecast, because the station record is the source of truth here. The key detail is the highest temperature listed for June 7 in whole degrees Celsius, and the market will remain open to revisions until the first datapoint for June 8 appears. If the page shows 18°C as the day’s high, that supports Yes; anything above 18°C resolves to No, provided the source page is finalized under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $220 in 24h volume, and $23.1K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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