
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.9 in 24h volume, and $22.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5.9
Liquidity
$22.4K
This market asks whether the day’s high temperature at Incheon International Airport Station will be exactly 19°C on June 7, 2026. The title says Seoul, but the resolution rules point to the Incheon Intl Airport Station weather record, so that station is the one readers should track.
The event being tested is a single-day weather reading: the highest temperature recorded for all times on June 7, 2026, at Incheon Intl Airport Station, measured in whole degrees Celsius. The market resolves Yes only if that daily high falls in the 19°C range; otherwise it resolves No. The deadline is tied to the end of June 7, and the market cannot settle until the first data point for the following day has been published on the source page.
Weather markets like this focus on a very specific temperature outcome, where a difference of just one degree changes the result. Even in a place like the Seoul/Incheon area, daily highs can vary with clouds, rain, wind, and timing of warm afternoon air, so 19°C is a narrow target rather than a broad forecast. The main question here is not whether the day feels warm or cool, but whether the official station record lands exactly on that number.
Forecast updates that point toward a milder or cooler afternoon in the Incheon area can shift expectations for whether the high reaches 19°C exactly. Morning conditions matter too, because a day that starts cool can still climb into the target range if sunshine arrives, while persistent cloud cover or rain can hold the high below it. Because the market resolves from a specific station reading, any forecast or observed temperature trend that changes the expected daily maximum at Incheon Intl Airport Station is what matters most.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-0.3%
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe source of truth is Wunderground’s daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station, and the market uses the highest temperature recorded there on June 7, 2026. Readers should verify the Celsius setting, the station name, and the final daily high after the first datapoint for June 8 appears, since revisions before that cutoff can still affect resolution. The title says Seoul, but the rules are explicit about Incheon Intl Airport Station, so that distinction is the key ambiguity to watch.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.9 in 24h volume, and $22.4K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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