
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$154.7K
Liquidity
$54.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $21.4K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$21.4K
This market is asking whether the day’s high temperature at Incheon International Airport Station will land exactly at 20°C on June 7, 2026. Even though the title says Seoul, the actual resolution uses the Incheon airport weather record, so readers should pay attention to the source rather than the city name alone.
The question is simple: when the weather record is checked for June 7, 2026, will the highest temperature shown for Incheon Intl Airport Station be 20°C? The market settles on the Wunderground daily history page for RKSI, and it uses whole-degree Celsius readings only, so the result depends on that exact published high rather than any unofficial forecast or nearby station. It cannot resolve until the first data point for June 8 appears on the source page.
Late-spring and early-summer temperatures around Seoul and Incheon can vary enough to make an exact daily high uncertain, especially when the cutoff is a single degree. The interest here is in whether the recorded high finishes at precisely 20°C, not just whether the day feels mild or warm. Because the title references Seoul while the source references Incheon Airport, the market also depends on understanding that the airport reading is the official standard for settlement.
Any weather forecast update for the area that shifts expectations toward a cooler or warmer day can move this market, especially if it changes the chance of a 20°C high versus 19°C or 21°C. Cloud cover, rain, wind direction, and seasonal warm-up patterns are the most relevant concrete factors because they affect the day’s maximum temperature. A revision on the Wunderground history page before the next day’s first datapoint can also matter, since the market allows changes until that cutoff.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-0.3%
24h Vol
$154.7K
Liquidity
$54.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCheck the Wunderground daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station and confirm the highest temperature listed for June 7 in Celsius, not Fahrenheit. The key resolution risk is that the market uses the airport station’s recorded high, so a forecast for Seoul city center is not the source of truth if it differs from RKSI. Readers should also watch for the first June 8 datapoint, because after that appears, later corrections no longer count for settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $21.4K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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