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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $23.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$23.8K
This market asks whether the high temperature associated with Seoul on June 7 will land exactly on 21°C. The resolution is tied not to a citywide official reading, but to the daily high recorded at Incheon Intl Airport Station, which is the specific source named in the rules.
The title points to Seoul, but the market’s resolution rule is more specific: it will settle according to the highest temperature recorded at Incheon Intl Airport Station on June 7, 2026. Because Wunderground measures the value in whole degrees Celsius for this source, the outcome depends on whether the day’s listed high is exactly 21°C, not whether it is close to that number. The market ends on June 7, and it cannot resolve until the first data point for the following day has been published.
This page is about a very narrow weather outcome, so the uncertainty is simply whether the day’s peak temperature will match one exact reading. A one-degree difference is enough to flip the result, which is why even a modestly warm or cool day can matter here. Readers should also note the naming detail: although the title says Seoul, the official settlement source is Incheon Intl Airport Station, so the market is really about that station’s observed high.
The main factor is the day’s forecast and how the actual afternoon temperature compares with nearby whole-number readings. Any shift in cloud cover, rain, wind, or a stronger-than-expected warm-up can push the high above or below 21°C, which would affect the market’s outcome. Because the resolution uses the recorded high for the station, even a brief spike to 21°C or a nearby value will matter only if it is the exact maximum for the day.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, check the Wunderground daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station and confirm the highest temperature listed for June 7, 2026. The key rule is whole-degree Celsius rounding at the source, so readers should verify the exact displayed high rather than a forecast range or another weather service. Also watch for the first published reading for June 8, since that is the cutoff after which revisions to June 7 should no longer affect settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $3.7K in 24h volume, and $23.8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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