
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $16.3K in 24h volume, and $31.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$16.3K
Liquidity
$31.9K
This market asks whether the day’s high temperature will land exactly in the 22°C bucket for Seoul on June 7, 2026. The wording is simple, but the resolution is tied to a specific weather station and a strict Celsius reading, so the exact source matters a lot.
Despite the title referring to Seoul, the market resolves using the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station on 7 June 2026, as reported by Wunderground. The outcome is based on whole-degree Celsius readings, and the market will settle only after the first data point for the following day is published on the resolution source, since late revisions before that cutoff still count.
This market is about whether one particular day in the Seoul-area weather record ends up matching a narrow temperature band: 22°C. Readers should pay attention because a single degree can change the result, and airport-station observations do not always line up perfectly with what people casually think of as “Seoul weather.”
New forecast information for the date, or a clearer picture of whether the day looks warmer or cooler than 22°C, can shift expectations quickly. Because the settlement depends on the daily high at Incheon Intl Airport Station, any change in that station’s reported maximum temperature before the cutoff can affect the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check the Wunderground daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station on June 7, 2026, and confirm the highest recorded temperature in Celsius. The key ambiguity to watch is that the market title says Seoul, but the resolution source uses Incheon Intl Airport Station, so the station-specific reading is what matters. Also note the resolution cannot finalize until the first reading for June 8 has been published, after which later revisions will not count.
Related markets

-0.3%
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketTrack live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $16.3K in 24h volume, and $31.9K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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