
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$154.7K
Liquidity
$54.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $56.9K in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$56.9K
Liquidity
$4.7K
This market is about whether the day’s high temperature at Incheon International Airport Station in South Korea will land in the 24°C range on June 7, 2026. Even though the title says Seoul, the resolution rule points to the Incheon airport weather record, so that source is what matters for the final outcome.
The page asks a simple weather question: will the highest temperature recorded on June 7 be 24°C, based on the temperature range used by the market’s resolution rules. The resolution source is Weather Underground’s daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station, and the market resolves only after the first data point for June 8 is published, since that locks in the final reading for June 7. Because the source measures in whole degrees Celsius, the exact whole-number high is what will determine whether the market lands in the 24°C bucket.
Daily temperature markets are sensitive to small forecast shifts, especially when the cutoff is a single degree. A forecast for Incheon and the greater Seoul area can move around with cloud cover, rain, sea breeze, or a late-afternoon warm-up, which is why a specific high-temperature band can remain uncertain until the day is over. The only real disagreement here is whether the recorded high at the airport station ends up at 24°C or somewhere else.
Forecast updates for the Seoul/Incheon area are the main thing that can move this market, especially changes that affect the expected daytime high by a degree or two. If forecasts trend hotter into the afternoon, the 24°C outcome becomes more plausible; if clouds, rain, or cooler maritime air keep the temperature down, the market should shift away from it. Because the source is tied to a specific station, local conditions near Incheon Airport matter more than a broader citywide impression of Seoul weather.
Related markets

-0.3%
24h Vol
$154.7K
Liquidity
$54.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the Weather Underground history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station, because that is the official source of truth named in the rules. The market cannot resolve until the first June 8 datapoint appears, and any later edits to the June 7 record will not count once that happens. The key ambiguity to watch is the title-versus-source mismatch: the title mentions Seoul, but the outcome depends on the recorded high at the Incheon airport station and on the market’s whole-degree Celsius rounding rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $56.9K in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
99.6%
No
0.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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