
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$149.9K
Liquidity
$53.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.4K in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$33.4K
Liquidity
$4.6K
This market asks whether the day’s high temperature around Seoul will land at exactly 25°C on June 7, 2026. The title says Seoul, but the resolution is tied to the Incheon Intl Airport Station weather record, which is the official source the market uses for settlement. That makes this a simple weather call with a very specific measurement rule.
The outcome is based on the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station on 7 June 2026, as published by Wunderground. If that daily high is 25°C, the market resolves Yes; if the recorded high falls in any other whole-degree Celsius range, it resolves No. The market cannot resolve until the first data point for the following day has been published, since late updates can still change the final daily high before then.
The uncertainty here is not about whether it will be warm in Seoul generally, but whether the official daily high at the named station will hit one exact number. Weather in early June can vary enough from day to day that a one-degree cutoff matters, especially when the market is centered on a single observation point rather than a citywide average. Readers should pay attention to the resolution rule because the title references Seoul, while the settlement source is the airport station near the city.
Forecasts showing a hotter or cooler-than-expected early-June day around Seoul can shift the price, especially if they cluster near 25°C. Any change in the expected daily high at Incheon Intl Airport, or any concern that the final reading could be revised before the next day’s first datapoint, can also affect the market. Because the market resolves on a single exact temperature, even a small change in the expected high can matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-0.2%
24h Vol
$149.9K
Liquidity
$53.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCheck the Wunderground history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station and confirm the final highest temperature for 7 June 2026, using Celsius rather than Fahrenheit. The key details are the station name, the daily high for that date, and the rule that revisions are only considered until the first datapoint for the following day is published. If the page has not yet posted the next day’s first reading, the result should be treated as still open.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.4K in 24h volume, and $4.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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