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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $37.3K in 24h volume, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$37.3K
Liquidity
$7.3K
This market asks whether the day’s high in the Seoul area will land exactly at 26°C on June 7, 2026. The key detail is that resolution is not based on a general city forecast, but on the specific temperature record at Incheon Intl Airport Station, which is the official source named in the rules.
Despite the title mentioning Seoul, the market resolves from the highest temperature recorded at Incheon Intl Airport Station on 7 June 2026, as published by Weather Underground. Because the source reports temperatures in whole degrees Celsius, the outcome depends on whether the station’s daily high is exactly 26°C rather than 25°C, 27°C, or any other integer reading. The market cannot resolve until the next day’s first data point appears on the source, and later corrections before that cutoff can still affect the result.
This market is really about a narrow weather call: will the local high at the named station match one exact Celsius reading on a specific date. Small changes in cloud cover, rain, wind, or seasonal warming can shift the day’s peak by a degree or two, which is enough to determine the outcome. The disagreement being priced is not about whether it will be warm in early June, but whether the peak will land precisely on 26°C under the station’s published record.
New weather forecasts for Seoul/Incheon, especially shifts in expected cloud cover, rainfall, or marine air, can change expectations for the day’s high. As the date gets closer, updated hourly forecasts or changes in the forecasted afternoon peak matter most because the market resolves only on the station’s recorded maximum. If the live Weather Underground record for Incheon Intl Airport Station starts showing a different high than 26°C, that would strongly affect the market.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, readers should check the exact source named in the rules: Weather Underground’s daily history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station. The important questions are whether the station’s highest temperature for June 7 is recorded as 26°C, whether the source is displaying Celsius rather than Fahrenheit, and whether any revisions appear before the first datapoint for June 8 is published. The title says Seoul, but the resolution source is Incheon Intl Airport Station, so the station record—not a broader city average or another weather site—is what matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $37.3K in 24h volume, and $7.3K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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