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Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.6K in 24h volume, and $19.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$51.6K
Liquidity
$19.9K
This market is asking whether the warmest reading tied to the Seoul-area temperature source will be exactly 27°C on June 7, 2026. It is a simple weather call, but the exact resolution rule matters because the market settles using a specific station and a specific daily high, not a general citywide estimate.
Despite the title’s reference to Seoul, the market resolves from the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station on 7 Jun 2026. The key outcome is whether that station’s daily high lands in the 27°C bucket, using whole-degree Celsius resolution. The market cannot settle until the first data point for the following date is published on the stated Weather Underground history page.
Weather on a single day can vary enough that even a one-degree difference changes the outcome. June is often a transitional period in the Seoul area, so a forecasted high near the upper 20s creates genuine uncertainty around whether the day tops out at 27°C or moves above or below it. The disagreement here is less about the season and more about the exact high that will be recorded at the resolution source.
New forecast updates for Seoul and the Incheon airport area can shift expectations if they point toward a hotter afternoon or a cooler cloudier day. Any change in the reported daily high on the Weather Underground station page, or any correction published before the next day’s first data point, can affect the final result. Because the market resolves to one exact Celsius value, even a one-degree move away from 27°C would make the answer fall into a different bucket.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$148.6K
Liquidity
$46.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should check the Weather Underground history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station and confirm the highest temperature recorded on June 7 in Celsius. The important details are the exact station, the daily high, the whole-degree rounding used by the source, and the cutoff for revisions: changes count only until the first datapoint for the following date appears. If the title and the source ever seem to point in slightly different directions, the source rules control the settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $51.6K in 24h volume, and $19.9K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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