
-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
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Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $13.1K in 24h volume, and $10K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$13.1K
Liquidity
$10K
This market is asking whether the day’s high temperature in the Seoul area will reach 28°C or above on June 7, using a very specific weather station for the official result. The title refers to Seoul, but the resolution rule points to Incheon Intl Airport Station, so readers should pay attention to the source rather than the city name alone.
The question is whether the highest temperature recorded on June 7, 2026 will be 28°C or higher, and the market resolves from the daily high reported for Incheon Intl Airport Station on Wunderground. That means the outcome is not based on a broad forecast for “Seoul” in general, but on the exact station named in the rules, measured in whole degrees Celsius. The market cannot resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the source page.
Late-spring and early-summer temperatures around the Seoul-Incheon area can vary enough that a one-degree cutoff still leaves room for uncertainty. The market is pricing whether the day will end up warm enough to hit or exceed 28°C at the specified station, which is a clean yes-or-no weather threshold. Because the source uses a single observing station and whole-degree rounding, small differences in station readings or daily updates can determine the final result.
Weather forecasts for June 7 in the Seoul and Incheon area are the main thing that can move this market, especially any change in expected afternoon highs near the 28°C line. A forecast shift of even 1°C matters here because the resolution rule is based on whole degrees Celsius and the threshold is exact. Any change in the station’s reported daily high on Wunderground, or an update to the record before the next day’s first datapoint appears, can affect how the market resolves.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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-0.3%
24h Vol
$148.4K
Liquidity
$49K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCheck the Wunderground history page for Incheon Intl Airport Station and make sure you are looking at the June 7, 2026 daily high in Celsius, not a different Seoul weather source. The important details are the exact station, the date, the 28°C cutoff, and the rule that revisions count until the first datapoint for the following day is published. Because the title says Seoul but the resolution source is Incheon, the safest approach is to follow the source page and the market rules rather than the shorthand title.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $13.1K in 24h volume, and $10K in liquidity.
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Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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