Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?

What this market is about

Hyperbeat is the named project here, identified by its X account, and the market is focused on whether its token’s FDV clears the $10 million threshold. The resolution clock is precise: “1 day after launch” means 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch, and the token only counts as launched once it is actively, publicly transferable and tradable. If Hyperbeat never launches a token by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market resolves to No.

Why the market exists

The uncertainty is not just about price; it is also about whether the token launch happens at all within the deadline and whether trading holds up above the stated valuation line after the first day. Readers who follow new crypto launches may care because early FDV levels are often used as a shorthand for how the market is valuing a project right out of the gate. The market is pricing disagreement over both the launch timeline and whether post-launch demand will leave the token above the $10 million mark.

What can move the price

Any official announcement from Hyperbeat about a token launch, launch timing, or trading venue could move this market quickly. After launch, early price action matters because FDV is calculated from token price multiplied by total supply, so a sharp move in the most liquid trading venue can change the outcome even if the token has already been listed. Clarity on circulating mechanics is less important here than the exact resolution rule, which uses total supply and the most liquid price source available at the 4:00 PM ET checkpoint.

How to read the current probability