culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$152.9K
Liquidity
$58.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $121.2K in 24h volume, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$121.2K
Liquidity
$5.6K
This market is about whether Hyperbeat’s token, if it launches, will reach a fully diluted valuation above $300 million one day later. It is a straightforward test of how the market prices the project’s debut and the token’s early trading level, not a long-term view of the project itself.
The key question is whether Hyperbeat will launch a token at all, and if it does, whether that token’s FDV will be above $300 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The description says the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched, and the valuation will be calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. If Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
Markets like this focus on an early price checkpoint because first-day trading often reflects demand, community interest, and token distribution in a way that is still highly uncertain. The debate here is not just whether Hyperbeat can launch, but whether the initial market price and supply structure can support a $300 million FDV so soon after launch. That leaves room for disagreement about listing conditions, circulating supply, and how much enthusiasm the token attracts right away.
Any announcement that clarifies a launch timeline, token mechanics, supply, or exchange availability could change how traders assess the chance of clearing the $300 million FDV bar. The first public indication that the token is live and transferable would matter especially because the market’s resolution depends on the token being tradable, not just announced. After launch, the most liquid price source available will determine the outcome, so early pricing on the main venue the token trades on is the main thing to watch.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$152.9K
Liquidity
$58.8K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should verify whether Hyperbeat has actually launched a publicly transferable token, since an announced token that is not yet tradable does not count. The other key check is the exact timestamp: the valuation is measured at 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch, using the most liquid price source available, and FDV is based on total supply rather than circulating supply. The page also includes a hard fallback deadline: if no token launch happens by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $121.2K in 24h volume, and $5.6K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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