culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $52.9K in 24h volume, and $8K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$52.9K
Liquidity
$8K
This market asks whether Hyperbeat’s token will be valued above $400 million on the day after it launches. Because the outcome depends on both the token’s launch timing and its early trading price, it is really a question about the project’s first public market reception, not just whether a token appears.
The event is tied to Hyperbeat, which is identified here by its X account and by the token launch itself. For this market, a “launch” only counts once the token is publicly transferable and actively tradable, and the check happens at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after that launch. The market resolves Yes if the token’s fully diluted valuation — total supply multiplied by token price — is above $400 million at that time, using the most liquid price source available; if no token launches by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves No.
There is uncertainty around both whether Hyperbeat will launch a token at all and, if it does, whether the token can command a $400 million FDV within roughly one day. That makes the market sensitive to how the project is received at launch, how much supply is outstanding, and whether the initial trading price holds up long enough to clear the threshold. Readers may care because this is a clean way to gauge expectations for a new token’s early market value.
The price can move sharply if Hyperbeat announces a token launch, confirms the launch date, or gives details about supply and distribution that make the FDV easier to estimate. Once trading starts, the market will react to the first liquid price source the rules rely on, so early market depth and sustained price action matter more than hype alone. Any sign that the token will not launch before the December 31, 2026 cutoff would push the market toward No.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe key items to verify are the actual launch moment, whether the token is publicly transferable and tradable, and the price source that appears most liquid after launch. Because the resolution is pegged to 4:00 PM ET on the following calendar day, readers should pay attention to the exact launch date and avoid assuming the first trade or an informal listing is enough. The main ambiguity risk is whether a token event qualifies as a true launch under the market rules and which exchange or venue is deemed the most liquid source for the FDV calculation.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $52.9K in 24h volume, and $8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
2.3%
No
97.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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