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0%
-0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $58.1K in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Probability
30%
24h Volume
$58.1K
Liquidity
$6.4K
This market asks whether Hyperbeat’s token will be valued at more than $50 million on the first day after it launches. The check is simple in concept but depends on how the token is priced and how much supply exists, so the question is really about the market’s early trading level rather than the project’s long-term prospects.
The event is tied to Hyperbeat, referenced here by its X account, and to the launch of a token that must be publicly transferable and tradable to count. The market resolves based on the token’s fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply times token price, measured at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. If no token launch happens by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
There is uncertainty because a new token’s early price can move sharply once it becomes tradable, and the market is asking whether that first-day valuation clears a specific threshold. Readers may care because the result depends on both the launch itself and the market’s immediate reception, including how much supply is outstanding and what the most liquid trading venue is showing. The disagreement being priced is whether Hyperbeat’s debut, if it happens, will be strong enough to put the project above a $50 million FDV that quickly.
A confirmed token launch, details about supply, and the first liquid trading price are the main drivers of this market. Any announcement that changes expectations about timing, transferability, or the number of tokens in circulation could matter because the resolution formula uses FDV, not just market cap. If the token launches on a venue with thin or volatile trading, the price source used at the resolution time can also become important.
The current market price implies roughly a 30% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.2%
24h Vol
$149.6K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketReaders should verify whether Hyperbeat actually launches a token, whether it is actively tradable, and which venue appears to be the most liquid source at the resolution time. The key timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch, so the relevant price is not the opening print or a later close elsewhere. The main ambiguity risk is any uncertainty around what counts as the launch date, whether trading is truly public and transferable, and which price source qualifies as the most liquid.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $58.1K in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
30%
No
70%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 30%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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