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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, and $305.9 in liquidity.
Probability
29%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$305.9
This market is asking whether Game 1 of the scheduled League of Legends match will feature at least one Quadra Kill, a rare highlight where a single player takes four enemy champions in quick succession. It is a narrow, moment-specific question, so the outcome depends less on who wins the series and more on whether the first map turns into a high-skill, high-action fight. The market closes around the Game 1 result on June 8, 2026, with official match data from gol.gg used for resolution.
The event here is not the full series, but Game 1 only. A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player scores four kills in a short span, and the market resolves Yes if that happens for either team during the first game; a Penta Kill also counts because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill along the way. If Game 1 is canceled, delayed too long, never played, or not needed because the series is decided before it starts, the rules say the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
This market is focused on a specific in-game milestone that can swing on draft, teamfights, and how chaotic the early or mid game becomes. Even strong teams can play clean, low-brawl games with few multi-kill moments, while other drafts can produce repeated skirmishes and clustered fights that make a Quadra Kill much more plausible. That is the uncertainty the market is capturing: whether Game 1 becomes a highlight-heavy map or stays relatively controlled.
Anything that suggests a bloodier Game 1 can push the market toward Yes, such as aggressive team compositions, early skirmish setups, or rosters known for fighting around objectives. A slower draft, a cautious early game, or a one-sided stomp where one team never gets grouped fights can make a Quadra Kill less likely. Because the market resolves on Game 1 only, pre-match changes that affect the first map matter more than the rest of the series, and a remake means only the remade game counts.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 29% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that Game 1 is actually played and completed, since the rules treat cancellations, long delays, forfeits, walkovers, and games not needed because the series is already decided as 50-50 outcomes. The key source of truth is official result information on gol.gg, and if that site does not publish final results within two hours after the event ends, the market may rely on a different official determination path described by the rules. Also watch for remakes or a surrendered game, because those are handled differently from a normal completed map and can change how the outcome is decided.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, and $305.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
29%
No
71%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 29%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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