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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $2K in 24h volume, and $417.5 in liquidity.
Probability
13%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$417.5
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 1 between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming, will both sides secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron usually marks the point where a game opens up and teams commit to major objective fights, this is a sharper read on the pace and control of the map than a simple match winner market.
The event is tied to Game 1 of the series between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming, with resolution due by the scheduled match date of 2026-06-08. Baron Nashor is the neutral objective that appears in the Rift after 20 minutes of game time, and the market resolves Yes only if both teams take Baron at least once during that single game. If the game is not played, is remade, ends in a stoppage before the condition is met, or is otherwise resolved under the special 50-50 rules in the description, those rules control the outcome.
There is genuine uncertainty because Baron control depends on draft, tempo, map pressure, and whether both teams can survive long enough to contest the later stages of the game. In a match like Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming, readers are really weighing whether the teams will trade late-game objectives or whether one side will close the game before both Barons ever get taken.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can move this market: aggressive early drafts, teams that favor scaling compositions, or rosters that are known for longer objective-heavy games tend to support more Baron opportunities. Map and objective control patterns matter here more than raw kill totals, and a one-sided stomp usually makes a double-Baron result less likely than a scrappier, back-and-forth game. The live book is currently tilted toward No, which suggests the market expects at least one team to miss that condition or for the game to end without both sides taking Baron.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 13% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the official Game 1 result and objective log from the stated source of truth, gol.gg, because the market settles from the published match record rather than commentary or highlight clips. Readers should also pay attention to the special settlement rules: if the game is remade, only the remade version counts; if the game is never played or is delayed beyond seven days, the market goes to 50-50; and if the game starts but ends early, the result depends on whether both teams had already slain Baron before the stoppage. If the series is altered in a way that prevents Game 1 from being played at all, that is a separate resolution risk worth checking before the match begins.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $2K in 24h volume, and $417.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
13%
No
87%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 13%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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