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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $16.2 in 24h volume, and $655.1 in liquidity.
Probability
74%
24h Volume
$16.2
Liquidity
$655.1
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 1 between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming: will both teams secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragons are one of the earliest neutral objectives that shape lane pressure, map control, and later Soul setups, this is a good snapshot of how contested the opening game is expected to be.
The title refers to Game 1 only, not the full series, and it resolves on whether Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each claim at least one elemental dragon during that game. Only elemental dragons count here, meaning Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud; Elder Dragon kills do not count toward the result. The market is scheduled to close around the game’s resolution window on 2026-06-08, and it has explicit fallback rules if the game is canceled, never played, or stopped before completion.
There is real uncertainty because a team can win a game without ever taking a dragon, especially if the pace is fast, one side snowballs early, or the match ends before the first or second spawn becomes relevant. At the same time, modern pro League games often feature coordinated objective trading, so it is not unusual for both sides to eventually take a dragon if the game lasts long enough. The market is pricing the question of whether this opening game becomes that kind of objective-focused contest or whether one team controls the map too cleanly for both sides to get one.
The biggest thing that can move this market is the expected length and style of Game 1: a slower, more even early game generally gives both teams more chances to claim a dragon, while a one-sided stomp can leave one side without any objective at all. Draft also matters, since strong teamfight setups, early jungle pressure, or compositions built around stacking and contesting river control can make dragon trades more likely. Any official change to the match schedule, roster, or game status before kickoff would also matter because this market has special rules for cancellations, forfeits, and games that are never played or not completed.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 74% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should verify that Game 1 actually starts and finishes, since the outcome changes to 50-50 in several no-game scenarios and depends on whether the game is completed. The key source of truth is the official game result and objective timeline for the match, because the rule cares only about whether each team slayed at least one elemental dragon before the game ended. If the game is stopped early, the important detail is whether both teams had already taken an elemental dragon before the stoppage; if not, the result is No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $16.2 in 24h volume, and $655.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 74%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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