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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, and $915.2 in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$915.2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
54%
Change
+4%
High
55.5%
Low
47.5%
Bilibili Gaming moved from 50% to 54% over the last month, trading between 47.5% and 55.5%.
Bilibili Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market is about the opening kill in Game 1 of a lower-bracket semifinal between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs. Because first blood often sets the tone for lane priority, jungle pathing, and early vision control, this is a small but meaningful early-game matchup signal rather than a full-series winner market.
The question is simple: which team gets first blood in Game 1 of Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming, scheduled for June 8 at 5:00 AM ET. The match is part of the LPL Playoffs lower bracket semifinal, so both teams are playing in a high-stakes elimination setting, and the market resolves only on the first kill in the opening game, not on the series result.
Early-game outcomes in League of Legends can hinge on draft, jungle pressure, lane matchups, and how willing each side is to force the first skirmish. Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming are both strong enough to make the opening minutes close, so the market is pricing a concrete in-game event that can go either way even before the series outcome is known.
Any confirmed draft or roster information before Game 1 can matter, especially if one side drafts aggressively early-game champions or changes players in key roles. Because this is an esports market, official schedule changes, a delayed start, a remake, or a no-show would change how the market resolves, and the opening minutes of Game 1 itself are the main live driver once the match begins.
The current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck whether Game 1 actually starts on schedule and whether the match is played to completion, since the rules treat cancellations, long delays, forfeits, walkovers, and some remake situations differently. The stated source of truth is official results on gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also note that if Game 1 ends with no first blood, or if the game is not completed under the rules described, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead of either team.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, and $915.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Anyone's Legend
46%
Bilibili Gaming
54%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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