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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, and $867.5 in liquidity.
Probability
45%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$867.5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
44%
Change
-16%
High
61.5%
Low
44%
Anyone's Legend moved from 60% to 44% over the full available history, trading between 44% and 61.5%.
Anyone's Legend price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question in the LPL Playoffs: which side gets the first kill in Game 2 of the lower-bracket semifinal between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming. Because the matchup is a playoff elimination setting and the outcome depends on a single early skirmish, even small draft or lane-pressure differences can matter a lot.
The event is the lower bracket semifinal in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 8 at 5:00 AM ET, with Anyone's Legend facing Bilibili Gaming. The market resolves to the team that secures first blood in Game 2 only, not the winner of the match or Game 1; if Game 2 is canceled, never played, delayed more than seven days, or ends without a first blood, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
First blood is one of the most matchup-sensitive early-game events in League of Legends, and in a playoff series it often reflects which team is more willing to fight early, who has better lane priority, and which junglers can set up the first move. Fans may disagree because playoff teams can change approach from game to game, and a lower-bracket semifinal also raises the stakes for draft choices, tempo, and risk-taking.
Price can move if the Game 2 draft strongly favors early engage, strong level-one pressure, or aggressive jungle paths for either Anyone's Legend or Bilibili Gaming. It can also shift if there is a remake, a long pause, or any change to the schedule, since the rules treat cancellation, long delay, forfeits, and unfinished games differently from a completed game with no first blood.
The current market price implies roughly a 45% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore resolution, readers should verify that Game 2 is actually played, that the match is still within the seven-day window, and that the official result source at gol.gg publishes the final record. The key ambiguity points are whether a remake happened, whether first blood occurred before any stoppage, and whether the game finished normally, because those details determine whether the market resolves to a team or to 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, and $867.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Anyone's Legend
44.5%
Bilibili Gaming
55.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 45%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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