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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, and $573.8 in liquidity.
Probability
29%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$573.8
This market is about a single in-game highlight in Game 3 of a League of Legends series: whether any player will secure a Quadra Kill. In LoL terms, that means one player takes down four enemy champions in very quick succession, which usually happens in a decisive team fight or a late-game cleanup. Because the market is tied to a specific game, the outcome depends on both the pace of the match and whether the series actually reaches a third game.
The title points to Game 3, and the market is asking one narrow question: did any player in that game record a Quadra Kill, yes or no. A Penta Kill also counts here, because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. The description also sets out special cases: if Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed more than 7 days, or is rendered unnecessary because the series ends early, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are relatively uncommon even in high-level esports, so there is real uncertainty around whether a match will produce one. The answer often comes down to game state: one-sided team fights, late-game damage output, champion picks, and whether either team is able to snowball long enough for a player to collect multiple kills in sequence. Readers following this market are really watching whether Game 3 becomes a high-kill, momentum-heavy game or a cleaner finish without that kind of highlight.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a long, chaotic Game 3 can move this market. Draft and roster choices matter a lot: assassin or reset-heavy champions, strong engage tools, or a volatile patch meta can make multi-kill fights more likely, while safer scaling or split-push styles can reduce them. A series that is already headed toward a sweep, a forfeit, or a non-played Game 3 would also change the resolution path under the market rules, since those cases can lead to 50-50.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 29% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 3 is officially played to completion, because the market rules treat canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary third games differently. The stated source of truth is official information from gol.gg/esports/home, and if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends, the fallback source in the rules applies. For a clean resolution, readers should check that the game was actually completed and then confirm whether any player achieved a Quadra Kill before the final result was recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, and $573.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
29%
No
71%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 29%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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