esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $387.6 in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$387.6
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 3 between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming, will both teams take Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the biggest swing objectives in LoL, so this is a clean way to measure whether the game reaches a late enough, contested state for both sides to secure it.
The resolution target is simple: answer "Yes" only if Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor only appears after 20:00 game time and then respawns every 6 minutes after being killed, so this market is really about whether the match lasts long enough for both teams to claim the objective. The market is tied to a specific scheduled series date, with a deadline shown as 2026-06-08 15:00 UTC. If Game 3 is not played for any reason covered by the rules, or if the series ends before a third game is needed, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
This market exists because Baron control is often a marker of a longer, more back-and-forth game, but it is never automatic that both sides will get one. A fast stomp, a one-sided macro win, or a decisive late-game finish can leave one team without ever taking Baron, even in a full-length game. Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming are both top-level esports names, so a Game 3 between them can reasonably be expected to feature real strategic tension around objectives, vision, and map control. The market is pricing the question of whether this particular game becomes the kind of extended contest where both teams get a chance to secure Baron at least once.
The biggest price movers are the game state and pace of play: early kills, major tower leads, or a fast surrender point toward a lower chance that both teams reach Baron. By contrast, a close mid-game, repeated team fights, or trading objectives can make it more likely that each side eventually gets a Baron of its own. Draft and matchup choices matter too, especially if either team fields a composition built for early snowballing or one that scales into long fights around objectives. Since the market is only about Game 3, whether the series even reaches that game is also decisive; if the series is clinched before then, the rules send the market to 50-50.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 3 is actually played and completed, since the rules treat canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary games differently. The official source of truth is gol.gg, and if that site has not published final results, the market says the outcome may rely on other official information. The key ambiguity to watch is whether a team slayed Baron during a remade game or before an in-game stop such as a surrender, because only the remade game counts and partial games are judged by the state before stoppage. In practice, the cleanest check is the official match record for Game 3 and whether both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each secured at least one Baron kill in that specific game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, and $387.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
14.5%
No
85.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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