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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $1.3 in 24h volume, and $654.6 in liquidity.
Probability
74%
24h Volume
$1.3
Liquidity
$654.6
This market asks a very specific in-game question from Game 3 of a League of Legends series between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming: did both teams manage to take at least one elemental dragon? That makes it a live read on early- and mid-game map control, since dragons are often where teams decide whether to fight, trade objectives, or play for scaling. The page is tied to Game 3 specifically, so the answer depends on what happens in that single map, not the full match result.
The event here is not who wins the series, but whether Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each secure at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count for this market, which means the first four dragon types that spawn during the game; Elder Dragon kills do not count toward the condition. If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, or is not needed because the series ends earlier, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
Dragon control is one of the clearest indicators of how a League of Legends game is unfolding, because teams must decide whether to contest objective timers, trade elsewhere on the map, or give up space to protect gold and scaling. This market isolates a narrow slice of the game state: whether both sides can find at least one dragon take, which can happen in a cautious stalemate or in a scrappy, high-traffic objective game. The uncertainty comes from draft, lane priority, jungle pathing, and whether either team dominates the early dragon setup enough to deny the other.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a dragon fight can move this market: an aggressive draft that gives one team early river control, a scaling composition that concedes the first dragon, or a strong bot lane that helps secure the bottom-side objective. If one team stacks early dragons quickly, the other side may be forced into risky contests that can decide whether both teams ever get on the board. A clean, one-sided game can hurt the "Yes" case, while a back-and-forth map with repeated objective trades makes it more likely that each team claims at least one elemental dragon.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 74% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the actual Game 3 broadcast or official game record, because the market depends on in-game dragon kills and the match state at the moment play ends. Readers should verify whether Game 3 was completed, whether it was played at all, and whether any unusual ending such as a surrender or forfeit affects resolution under the posted rules. Also important: only elemental dragons count, so Elder Dragon kills after a team reaches Dragon Soul do not change the outcome for this market. The scheduled end time shown on the page matters because a major delay can trigger the 50-50 fallback if the game is not played within the stated window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 74%, $1.3 in 24h volume, and $654.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 74%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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