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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, and $517.5 in liquidity.
Probability
47%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$517.5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
53.5%
Change
0%
High
54%
Low
53%
Bilibili Gaming moved from 53.5% to 53.5% over the last hour, trading between 53% and 54%.
Bilibili Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: which side gets the first kill in Game 3 of Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal. Because it depends on one opening fight or early mistake, the outcome can turn on draft, jungle pathing, lane priority, and how aggressively each team wants to play the map.
The event is the lower-bracket semifinal in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET, with Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming facing off. The market resolves to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3 specifically, not the winner of the match or the series. If Game 3 is delayed too long, canceled, never played, ends in a remake without a pre-remake first blood, or finishes without any first blood at all, the market can resolve to 50-50 under the stated rules.
First blood is a narrow, game-specific event with real uncertainty even in a high-level playoff match, especially between teams that know each other well and may draft cautiously or prepare early-game setups. In a playoff setting like the LPL lower bracket, both teams have something to protect and something to gain, so the opening minutes can reflect either careful control or a deliberate attempt to strike first. That makes the market about who is more likely to create the first decisive early advantage in Game 3, not who is the stronger team overall.
The biggest price moves usually come from information that changes expectations for Game 3’s early minutes: draft patterns, champion bans, lane assignments, and whether either side looks set up for a strong level-one or early-jungle play. In a playoff series, the way Games 1 and 2 were played can also matter if one team has shown a clear edge in early skirmishes, objective setups, or support roaming. Any sign that the teams are likely to prioritize scaling, safety, or unconventional lanes can reduce first-blood expectations, while aggressive compositions and early pressure can push them the other way.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 47% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch the official match result and Game 3 timeline, since the rules hinge on the first blood in that exact game and not on later kills or the series result. The stated resolution source is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event concludes. The main ambiguity to check for is whether Game 3 was actually completed, remade, delayed beyond seven days, or ended without a first blood, since those cases can force a 50-50 resolution instead of a team winner.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, and $517.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Anyone's Legend
46.5%
Bilibili Gaming
53.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 3 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 47%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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