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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $105.9 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$105.9
This market asks whether anyone will land a Quadra Kill in Game 4 of a League of Legends series. Because a single burst fight can change a game instantly, this is the kind of in-game highlight that often depends on teamfight setup, champion damage, and how long the match stays close enough for a full-scale fight.
The title refers to Game 4 specifically, so the question only matters if that game is actually played. A Quadra Kill means one player gets four kills in rapid succession, and the market also counts a Penta Kill as satisfying the condition because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. The resolution is tied to official match information on gol.gg/esports/home, so readers should check that the game was completed and that the result page reflects the final play-by-play outcome.
This market is focused on a narrow, high-variance event inside a single esports map: not just who wins, but whether one player gets to clean up four opponents in a row. That can hinge on draft choices, late-game team compositions, reset champions, and whether fights break out in clustered positions around objectives. The uncertainty is mostly about game pace and fight quality rather than the series result alone.
Roster or draft information can matter a lot here, especially if either team tends to play aggressive teamfight styles or fields players known for carry champions that snowball through multi-kill fights. Patch and meta shifts before the series can also change how often teams group up, whether fights are slower and more controlled, and how likely a player is to reach a cleanup window. If the series format or standings suggest Game 4 may not be played at all, that would be especially important because the rules send unplayed Game 4 cases to 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this resolves, readers should verify that Game 4 actually takes place, because cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeit, walkover, or a series ending before Game 4 all lead to 50-50 under the rules. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the match ends early by surrender, the key question is whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage. The safest source of truth is the official result record on gol.gg/esports/home, and any ambiguity should be checked against that page rather than highlights or social posts.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $105.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
51%
No
49%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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