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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $123.6 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$123.6
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 4: will both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming secure Baron Nashor at least once before the game ends? Baron is one of the most important late-game objectives in LoL, so whether both sides take it can reflect a long, back-and-forth map rather than a one-sided finish.
The event is tied to Game 4 of the Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming series, with resolution based on that single game only. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 in game time and can be taken again after it respawns, so the market is looking for at least one Baron kill from each team during the completed game. If Game 4 is not played, is canceled, ends in a walkover, or never happens because the series ends earlier, the market resolves to 50-50 under the stated rules.
This is a narrow competitive question because even strong teams do not always reach Baron, and some games end quickly enough that only one side ever claims it. Fans following the series may care because Baron control is often tied to macro play, objective trading, and late-game setups, making it a good shorthand for how contested the game is. The market is effectively pricing whether Game 4 will feature enough time and back-and-forth to let both sides secure the objective at least once.
A draft with scaling champions, slower early-game pacing, or a closely contested lane phase can make multiple Baron setups more likely, while early snowballs, clean teamfights, or a fast surrender make it less likely that both teams ever take Baron. Because this is only about Game 4, roster changes, side selection, and any patch or meta choices that affect game length and objective trading matter more than broader series narratives. If the game reaches the late stages and both teams start exchanging major objectives, that is the kind of in-game pattern that would support a 'Yes' outcome.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key details to verify are that Game 4 is actually played to completion and that the official result source, gol.gg, records the Baron kills for that remade or completed game. Readers should pay attention to the series state before Game 4, because if the match is already decided and the game is never played, the market resolves to 50-50 rather than Yes or No. There is also a special rule for remakes and a separate rule for games ended by surrender, so the final official game record matters more than any live broadcast impression.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $123.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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