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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $746.7 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$746.7
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
+0.5%
High
52.5%
Low
47.5%
Anyone's Legend moved from 49.5% to 50% over the full available history, trading between 47.5% and 52.5%.
Anyone's Legend price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market is about the first kill in Game 4 of the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming. Because it depends on a single early play in one specific game, it can swing on draft, lane matchups, jungle pathing, and how aggressively each team opens the map.
The question here is simple: in Game 4 of Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gaming, which team gets first blood? The match is scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET in the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal, and the market resolves to the team credited with the first kill in that game. If Game 4 is not completed, is remade, or is never played under the listed conditions, the market has explicit fallback rules that can push it to 50-50.
First blood is one of the most volatile early-game events in League of Legends, so even closely matched teams can diverge quickly based on lane pressure, jungle pressure, or a single overextension. Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming are both established LPL teams, and in a playoff setting the draft and early-game plans can matter as much as raw team strength. The market is pricing a narrow question about who is more likely to strike first in that specific game, not who wins the match overall.
Anything that changes the expected early tempo in Game 4 can matter, especially side selection, champion drafts that favor engage or skirmishing, and whether either team leans into a more cautious opening. If either roster shows a change, a surprise substitution, or a draft pattern that suggests stronger early lane control, that would be relevant. Because this is tied to Game 4 specifically, the market can also react to how the series is unfolding before that map, since teams often adjust their level-one and early-jungle plans as a series progresses.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the official result information from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends. Readers should verify that Game 4 actually starts and completes under the stated rules, because the outcome changes if there is a remake, a stoppage before first blood, or a no-contest scenario. The deadline shown on the market is June 8 at 15:00:00 UTC, but the practical resolution depends on the official Game 4 result and the exact first-blood event inside that game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $746.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Anyone's Legend
49%
Bilibili Gaming
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between Anyone's Legend and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 4 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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